Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.176282 0.203966 0.234539 0.270803 0.312649 0.359424 0.415691
2025-10-26 0.132310 0.169299 0.214351 0.273253 0.348256 0.440621 0.563116
2025-11-02 0.106448 0.146098 0.197795 0.270123 0.368750 0.498657 0.683024
2025-11-09 0.087013 0.126470 0.180860 0.261287 0.377268 0.538651 0.780715
2025-11-16 0.076903 0.117464 0.176136 0.267152 0.404911 0.605908 0.922161
2025-11-23 0.067909 0.108444 0.169663 0.268796 0.425480 0.664000 1.055700
2025-11-30 0.061243 0.101850 0.165641 0.273065 0.449694 0.729180 1.206413
2025-12-07 0.053762 0.092845 0.156526 0.267735 0.457414 0.768512 1.319298
2025-12-14 0.047884 0.085665 0.149365 0.264458 0.467608 0.812165 1.443183
2025-12-21 0.043968 0.081318 0.146353 0.267685 0.488870 0.876046 1.608058
2025-12-28 0.041926 0.080020 0.148404 0.279912 0.527082 0.972851 1.841411
2026-01-04 0.039495 0.077683 0.148256 0.287964 0.558308 1.059960 2.065901
2026-01-11 0.037018 0.075030 0.147349 0.294714 0.588294 1.148764 2.305350
2026-01-18 0.034279 0.071544 0.144480 0.297351 0.610659 1.225588 2.530517
2026-01-25 0.031197 0.066977 0.138945 0.293946 0.620422 1.278521 2.713184
2026-02-01 0.027856 0.061463 0.130868 0.284334 0.616239 1.302765 2.838886
2026-02-08 0.026374 0.059741 0.130423 0.290714 0.646294 1.400238 3.129920
2026-02-15 0.024628 0.057227 0.128005 0.292502 0.666515 1.478827 3.388180
2026-02-22 0.023275 0.055436 0.126949 0.297146 0.693457 1.574440 3.694373
2026-03-01 0.021264 0.051886 0.121580 0.291349 0.695982 1.616131 3.881683
2026-03-08 0.019609 0.048984 0.117377 0.287784 0.703253 1.669152 4.101002
2026-03-15 0.018565 0.047450 0.116198 0.291294 0.727703 1.764283 4.431246
2026-03-22 0.018194 0.047544 0.118912 0.304595 0.777392 1.924023 4.936802